Pick of the Day · Thu, Aug 27 · 7:00 PM ET
Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills
Buffalo's +39 Point Differential Is Doing the Talking
The pick: Buffalo Bills -3 at −112 (DraftKings)
Lost. Final: Pittsburgh Steelers 27, Buffalo Bills 28.
Buffalo Bills -3 at -112 wins because a 2-0 team with a +39 point differential hosting a 1-1 team with a +2 point differential should be a bigger number than three points - and the Bills' defense, allowing just 10.5 points per game (5th in the NFL), is the structural reason Pittsburgh can't exploit the price.