Pick of the Day · Sun, Jan 18 · 3:00 PM ET

Houston Texans at New England Patriots

New England Patriots -3

The pick: New England Patriots -3 at −110

Won. Final: Houston Texans 16, New England Patriots 28.

The Patriots' superior defensive depth and the Texans' critical offensive injuries give New England a significant advantage. Houston is missing their top two receivers (Nico Collins, Tank Dell) and starting running back Joe Mixon, severely limiting their scoring potential. New England's home-field advantage and defensive versatility should control this game from start to finish.

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