MLB pick of the day · Thu, Oct 15 · 1:00 PM ET

Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland's Run Differential Is the Whole Argument at +172

The pick: Cleveland Guardians -1.5 at +172 (FanDuel)

Lost. Final: Tampa Bay Rays 2, Cleveland Guardians 3.

Cleveland Guardians -1.5 at +172 this afternoon is a bet that Tampa Bay's offense - 3.2 runs per game in their last five completed regular-season games of 2026 - cannot keep pace with a Cleveland lineup that has scored 5.6 runs per game over that same stretch.

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